You are viewing the EdNews Blog archives.
These archives contain blog posts from before June 7, 2011
Click here to view the new Voices section of EdNews

Author Archive

Probing how much induction matters

Friday, July 2nd, 2010

In an October 2009 post, I bemoaned the disappointing results of an IES-funded study by Mathematica that found that two years of a comprehensive teacher induction program did not lead to any higher student achievement (or better teacher retention/satisfaction).

This study uses gold-standard methodology, employing random assignment in a large number of schools and districts, so it was particularly frustrating to see no positive results for a policy intervention that many educators “on the ground” see as very important.

Now, Liam Goldrick clues me into the fact that Mathematica has just finished the third year of the evaluation, and there is one new important finding.

For teachers who received  two years of comprehensive induction programs (some in the treatment group received one year, others got two years), in their third year of teaching, their students did significantly better in math and reading than students of teachers who got “normal’ district induction programs.

Now, that third year positive result remains really the only positive finding – teacher retention and satisfaction is no higher, even after three years, and one year of comprehensive induction does not produce better student achievement.  So, the cost/benefit of comprehensive induction, compared to other reforms, remains questionable.

But, it is interesting to see that a common sense policy intervention, which many real world educators are “sure” is important, only pays off after two years of investment.

Many analysts have made the point that we often abandon education reforms quite quickly if they don’t appear to be the “silver bullet,” and the political cycle of new superintendents and school board members accelerates this “policy churn.” (Rick Hess’ 1999 Brookings book “Spinning Wheels: The Politics of Urban School Reform”  explains this argument best).

On some reforms, we might need a little patience.

Popularity: 1% [?]

Here’s a concept: Charter cities

Monday, June 21st, 2010

The idea behind charter schools is to break free from the accretion of bureaucratic and institutional constraints in the world of education that make it difficult to operate an effective school.  And, in practice, many charters (like DSST, West Denver Prep, KIPP) now provide shining examples that low-income students can learn and perform well, despite the various disadvantages they face.

Paul Romer’s idea is to break the institutional constraints of poorly performing countries, by introducing charter cities into their geography.  This idea was recently highlighted in the Atlantic Monthly’s ideas issues:

And it had previously been discussed in forums like Freakonomics.

While critics appropriately point to some potential problems with the idea (it looks like neo-colonialism, what if regimes change or wars break out?), the idea is fascinating.  Basically, a first world country, or consortium of such, would agree to govern a small piece of geography, perhaps a city, in a third world or developing nation.

The institutions, rules, regulations, and laws, and their implementation, would all be from the first world.  Citizens of the developing nation would be encouraged to move to the charter city and try our business and other entrepreneurial ideas in that environment.  The hope is that this would provide an example of success, and would spread beyond the initial limited geography.

It is almost like trying to reproduce the historical accident of Hong Kong near China.  It might also have the advantage of encouraging migration to these areas, rather than to the first world countries that are often increasingly hostile to such in-migration from developing nations.

Of course, the big question with successful charter schools now is whether they can replicate and scale up.  Charter cities, if they can get a toe hold (and Romer has a few countries quite interested) would provide an even more fascinating scale up question.

Popularity: 2% [?]

The nuances of student performance over time

Friday, June 11th, 2010

A fascinating new article in the Journal of Political Economy (link to their working paper version) is receiving a little attention from some smart bloggers like Tyler Cowan and Kevin Drum.

Basically, the article takes advantage of a teaching approach at the Air Force Academy that provides a natural experiment (contemporary economists’ favorite thing – known as “clean causation”).  Calculus is taught there by several different instructors but using the same core ideas, and all the students take a common test at the end – and, students are assigned randomly to the instructors.  Thus, the hidden “quality” of the instructor is fairly well isolated as the cause of any variation in student performance.

The study finds that less experienced and/or lower ranked instructors (e.g., without Ph.Ds) produce higher performance on the final test taken in the semester in which the course is taught – somewhat counterintuitive, but interesting.  The real interesting part, however, is that the students who took the more experienced and more senior instructors may perform lower on the test in that immediate semester, but they perform better in subsequent required math and engineering courses.

That is, the short run performance of students is different from their longer-run performance, depending on the type of instructor they have.

More experienced instructors appear to provide a broader, longer-lasting learning experience, which does not pay off on the immediate standardized test but does pay off in future learning.

Conversely, lower ranked instructors move student achievement higher in the short-run, perhaps by teaching more to the test, but their students perform less well in future courses.

Now, as with all such research, this is only one study, with one type of student examined (smart, hard working, Air Force Academy types), so lots of caveats must be applied.

But, to the extent that this result generalizes about teaching quality, it suggests that even examining student achievement on a good, valid test at the end of a year of learning with a single teacher, which is becoming the hoped-for gold standard of teacher evaluation (though we are a long way from being able to do that, accurately), might not tell you about the long-term impact that teacher has on her/his students’ achievement.

Popularity: 2% [?]

Two sides of teacher evaluation

Friday, June 11th, 2010

Westword’s Melanie Asmar wrote a fascinating article in this week’s edition on teacher evaluation in DPS.

While the larger frame is the toughening of teacher evaluation, the focus is on a particular teacher, Mary Pishney, at Bromwell Elementary. Pishney in many ways sounds like the epitome of a caring, hard-working, student-focused teacher.  A recent negative evaluation by a new principal has sent her life and career into a downward spiral than makes for somewhat painful and poignant reading.

This article can be read, or taken, in many ways.  There are fascinating elements about the widely differing, and intense, parental input about whether Miss Pishney is one of the top teachers anywhere or whether she is overly focused on social/emotional issues and under-emphasizing rigorous first grade math skills.

Certainly the article is skeptical about the quality of the principal’s evaluation of this teacher and the resulting remediation process.  Tom Boasberg and Shayne Spalten are quoted about DPS’s broader need to evaluate teachers more rigorously and to work to remove those who get negative evaluations, and the Johnston bill is discussed.  But, this article points out some the human elements that make it harder to evaluate fairly teacher quality than it might look to someone outside the system.

Popularity: 6% [?]

It’s time for adult conversations on taxes

Monday, May 24th, 2010

With the drama of the legislative session behind us, we should think broadly about Colorado’s future.

Reformers got a lot of legislation they wanted, in the past few sessions – new aligned standards and curricula, greater ability to innovate, meaningful data systems, more rigorous teacher evaluations – but each of these will take money to implement well.

Indeed, if we are to sustain an adequate K-12 education system, and any publicly-funded higher education system at all, much less aspire to the great, and reformed, system many of us would like to see, the state fiscal picture needs to be addressed.  Soon.

Part of that requires an ability of polite people to have adult conversations about taxes.  Not just “NOOO.”

At the national level, according to the U.S Department of Commerce’s Bureau of Economic Analysis, all combined federal, state, and local taxes (including income, sales and property taxes) were 9.2 percent of personal income in 2009, the lowest level since 1950.  That’s right – we now have the lowest effective tax burden we have had in 60 years, and well below the average rate over that period, of 12 percent.

Some would suggest, misleadingly, that today’s tax rates are high, or that economic growth would be choked off by raising taxes.  There have been some very strong periods of American economic growth since 1950, and many of those occurred when effective tax burdens were considerably higher than they are today (and, even more so, effective rates on the highest income Americans are now at long-time low levels).

Moving to the state level, effective state and local tax burdens in Colorado are about 90 percent of the national average across the American states – by becoming just an “average” state, we could bring in about another billion dollars for state investments.  And, Colorado used to be an average state, but the various complex constitutional restraints (with TABOR at the heart) have changed that – over time, the state general fund percentage of total state personal income has fallen from a range of 4-5 percent for the two decades from 1979-1999 to about 3.2 percent today.

These national and state percentages changes may seem small, but since the national GDP is about $13 trillion dollars (and Colorado’s gross state product is about $245 billion), small percentage differences mean large dollars not collected, and thus not available for education and other investments.  The argument that Colorado doesn’t have capacity to invest more in its future just doesn’t hold water – we are in or near the top ten states for per capita income, and our gross state product is about equivalent to the economic capacity of Finland, a nation whose education test results and teacher quality we greatly admire – and Finland spends about twice as much of its tax base on education as does Colorado (including Colorado’s federal support).

Nobody likes to pay taxes – I certainly don’t.  But, in return for paying taxes, you get investments and services.  At the state level, more than 52 percent of the general fund budget in Colorado goes to K12 and higher education, so a conversation about education is also a conversation about tax levels.

As a nation, and even more so as a state, we have moved to a situation where tax levels are probably too low to support the services we want.   It has become political death for aspiring candidates to talk about taxes, probably since Walter Mondale tried it in the presidential election of 1984. TABOR forces politicians to take every case directly to the voters, even more challenging a task, and arguably not a smart idea when polling data shows that many citizen (not surprisingly) want an impossible combination of low taxes and high quality services at the same time.

But, this approach needs to change.  If we are ever going to have a fair and balanced discussion about taxes, and the possibility of raising them, shouldn’t it come at the very time when the burden is the lowest it has been, both nationally and in Colorado, in several generations?

Whatever the outcomes, we need to have adult discussions about the services we want (do we really not want street lights and trash containers in public parks, a la Colorado Springs?  Do we really want the biggest K-12 achievement gap in the nation?  Do we really want the fastest growth in child poverty in America?)  and the reality that we need taxes to pay for services.

Taxes become investments in education, ones that can pay off, over time, in better educated citizens, workers, and yes future taxpayers.

Popularity: 4% [?]

Teacher evaluation challenges

Friday, April 23rd, 2010

As the battle moves ahead over SB 191, the teacher evaluation bill, I want to weigh in with some reasons to support it, particularly with the added amendments that lengthen the time frame for implementation. While the bill may not provide the perfect legislative design, it moves us well beyond the current system of, basically, “non-evaluation” of teachers.

It has never been fully clear to me why teachers earn the equivalent of career tenure, after the most minimal showing of competence/continuance over 3 years (and especially so when the research shows that many teachers don’t reach their best level of achievement until 5 years or more).  While tenure in higher education has some problems, for the most part it is a rigorous, 7 year process where a fairly high bar is set – and plenty of people are turned down, but only after very careful review of all aspects of a candidate’s record by multiple parties.  And, much of the argument for tenure, of course, is based upon the potentially controversial research that professors might engage in, not the teaching part of their job.

The teachers unions have argued that SB 191 moves too fast, too far.  The longer implementation time frame should help address the legitimate elements of those concerns – that is, we don’t now have valid and reliable assessments of student learning for a number of subjects and grades.  There is a kind of “chicken v. egg” quality to these arguments – supporters saying we won’t generate and test the valid and reliable assessments until we have high stakes decisions ready to be made, and opponents arguing that we need the assessments fully vetted beyond a shadow of a doubt before making any decisions based upon them.  While I’m more in the camp of passing the legislation and figuring out how to do the assessments right, it does take time, and money, to do it right.

Economists look at evaluating teachers as partly a statistical “sampling” problem – that is, teachers have a “true type” (good, bad, average, etc.) that districts can’t easily perceive, so we sample their performance.  We can sample inputs (resume, college degree, prior training, etc.), outputs (lessons plans, what they can be seen doing in the classroom, how they interact with peer teachers, etc), and outcomes (ideally longitudinal student achievement, but also student advancement, etc.).

While outcomes such as student growth are the place most reformers want to get to, these are still only imperfect samples of what students have learned – students have good and bad days, some students are sick on test day, the same students taking the test in September and May may be a small number due to mobility, how closely are the tests aligned to the actual curriculum, and other factors all influence the outcomes.  As Rona Wilensky noted in these pages, a singular focus on test scores leads to real cheating, perhaps curriculum narrowing, and extreme teaching to the test (these problems are all reduced if the assessment tests are really really good).

Similarly, observing teachers is the classroom is sampling – a “poor true type” teacher could become adept at putting on a good show for announced and unannounced observations by a principal or a peer group, but the more samples that are taken, the more likely the evaluations are to be accurate.

If I were a “good“ teacher I would want fair evaluations, a balance of both of outcomes and outputs assessments, that give me the best chance to show that I am effective. The more good sampling that is done (for example, the eight principal visits to teachers’ classrooms in Mike Miles’ plan), the smaller the “confident interval” around the evaluation and the more likely it is fair.  Especially if the pay and tenure implications become higher, we want teachers to feel that their evaluation is fair (and we want to prevent truly “bad” teachers from being able to somehow “game” the system to their advantage).

We should also recognize that there are exciting experiments going on, in Colorado, from which we should draw knowledge soon, including Procomp in DPS, Mike Miles’ evaluation and pay reforms in Harrison 2, Eagle County’s TAP program, the Gates MET studies being done in DPS that explicitly link new assessments and videotaped performance of teachers, and others.  With the longer implementation time frame, the right lessons can be learned, and applied, from these experiments.

At the same time, this will cost money.  I am often struck by the battle lines in Colorado of reformers, who believe we can make radical changes even with the same low (below national average) funding, versus those who advocate for more, and more fair, funding (and are often derided as somehow being “anti-reform”).  These things should go together more.

Reform done badly, often because it is done on the cheap, is likely to backfire and slow ultimate progress.  For example, teacher pay for performance is not a new idea – it had a major push after 1983’s Nation at Risk report – but it was done poorly, and even in recent experiments in Houston and Hillsborough County Florida, it was abandoned because notably poor teachers were being paid excellence bonuses (plus a few deceased teachers were paid, as well).

So, how about more money and reform working together?  “Gifts, donations, and private philanthropy” are probably not enough to produce a very good evaluation system for 50,000 teachers statewide, especially given the need for better assessments and evaluation training (and, at the same time that CAP4K curriculum changes will be implemented, without enough money).

While Alex Ooms provides some interesting ideas in his recent blog post about freeing up current money spent on paying for advanced degrees, ideas that Marguerite Roza and CRPE have championed, it just isn’t realistic to think that those sources of money will be available soon, as they would require enormous changes to the current system, and probably changes to legal and contractual obligations.

Finally, while questioning the realism of these funding sources, I do agree with much of Ooms’ recent blog post – this bill is important and worth a fight, but we shouldn’t delude ourselves too much about the impact, even if it is implemented well and with some real resources.   My sense, from the somewhat mixed extant research, is that we will have the ability to distinguish maybe 3 groups of teachers through better evaluations – a small percentage of poor teachers who should not be in the system, a small percentage of really excellent teachers who deserve more autonomy, career paths, and pay, and a very large middle group of solid teachers that is nearly average.

Rewarding the excellent and culling the poor teachers will help our system somewhat – this is by no means trivial.  But, we need to figure out how to improve the very large number of more-or-less average teachers to get a major boost to student outcomes.

Popularity: 5% [?]

NAEP score trends not so flat after all

Tuesday, March 30th, 2010

The Quick and Ed blog has a great post by Chad Aldeman (March 26) about NAEP scores.

Reformers have bemoaned the lack of much progress, over a few decades, on the NAEP, which is the one and only true national test that is administered to large amounts of students (enough for a representative sample in each state, and, with TUDA, in a few large urban districts as well).

A clearer picture of NAEP trends provides more of a positive view of the past 30 years of education reform – obviously, the achievement gaps are still way too large, we still have a long way to go, and more reform is welcome – but, we shouldn’t think that all of our efforts have been for naught.

While NAEP scores look fairly flat, with (very) slowly rising scale scores over time, the flatness actually hides various important changes beneath.

NAEP’s sample is representative of the students taking the test, so it has changed a great deal over time – relatively fewer white students and more Hispanic and black students taking the test.  Since minority students tend to score lower on NAEP, having more such students in the sample should tend to bring the scores down, rather than the flat or slow rise over time.

Aldeman’s post has great graphs – this one shows the pretty flat NAEP, over 33 years.

This next chart shows the change in who is actually taking NAEP.

And, the final chart shows positive score trends for all racial groups, over time, with some reduction in achievement gaps.

Popularity: 11% [?]

TABOR and education spending in Colorado

Wednesday, March 17th, 2010

The Center for Budget Policy and Priorities, a DC-based think tank with a reputation for honest use of data, has a new report out on Colorado’s budget and the impact of TABOR

Here is how CBPP describes themselves: “The Center on Budget and Policy Priorities is one of the nation’s premier policy organizations working at the federal and state levels on fiscal policy and public programs that affect low- and moderate-income families and individuals.”

Since I’m sure some critics will weigh in with arguments that it is not TABOR that causes these outcomes, it is Gallagher, A-B, Amendment 23, late 1990s tax cuts, TABOR, and the full litany, I’ll stipulate that, yes, these are “TABOR + etc” impacts.  But TABOR defenders are often not fully honest when they don’t admit that TABOR explicitly incorporates other tax and expenditure limitations into the state Constitution, so it is indeed at the core of these changes.

I highly recommend reading the full report, though perhaps read it on an empty stomach – the picture is truly not pretty.

Here is CBPP’s K12 summary (and remember, K12 spending has been “protected” by Amendment 23 since 2000):

  • “Between 1992 and 2001, Colorado declined precipitously from 35th to 49th in the nation in K-12 spending as a percentage of personal income. As of 2006, the state maintained its low ranking among the states at 48th.
  • Colorado’s average per-pupil funding fell by more than $600 relative to the national average between 1992 and 2006.
  • Colorado’s average teacher salary compared to average pay in other occupations declined from 30th in the nation in 1992 to a low of 50th in 2001, and edging up only slightly to 49th in the nation as of 2007.”

So, in the protected spending area of K12, Colorado went from a more/less average state in 1992 to one near the bottom by several measures.

Here is the CBPP summary for higher education in Colorado:

  • “Under TABOR, higher education funding per resident student dropped by 31 percent after adjusting for inflation; after TABOR’s suspension, it declined by another 3 percent.
  • College and university funding as a share of personal income declined from 35th in the nation in 1992 to 48th in 2004; Colorado maintains that ranking in 2008.”

Again, Colorado goes from an average spending state to the very bottom in higher ed.

And, since a picture is worth a thousand words, here are a couple of not-so-pretty pictures.  (You can click on the photos to make them larger and sharper.)

Remember, this is the Colorado education spending scenario BEFORE the 2010/11 budget, where additional cuts are just beginning to be described in the newspapers and Ed News, and look like 8% for K12 and 20-40% for higher ed.

Popularity: 33% [?]

Neighbors in (relative) higher ed woes

Monday, February 15th, 2010

While Colorado’s public higher education system faces severe financial cuts, combining a previously low level of funding with further deep cuts, we are by no means the only state facing a crisis.  Our neighbors in Nevada have recently been highlighted in national reports.

But, before reading the blog below about Nevada, please understand that in 2008, according to NCHEMS data – National Center for Higher Education Management Systems – state and local support per FTE student in Nevada was $9,102, while in Colorado it was $4,213 (less than half of Nevada’s state support).   If they are having troubles dealing with these cuts, how are we doing it?   Data Link: http://www.higheredinfo.org/dbrowser/index.php?submeasure=67&year=2008&level=nation&mode=graph&state=0

Nevada’s Looming Higher Education Crisis

by Daniel Luzer

There’s an update to the budget problems facing public colleges in Nevada. According to Nevada Higher Education Chancellor Dan Klaich if the Legislature applies budget cuts across the Nevada state government, the system won’t have enough money to operate next year. According to an article in the Las Vegas Review-Journal:

[Klaich]told the system’s governing Board of Regents the state is facing the worst economic shortfall in anyone’s memory, nearly $1 billion. This will mean either massive cuts to every aspect of government, or woefully unpopular tax increases. Or both.

If the Legislature applies the cuts equally across state government, it will likely mean budgets will be reduced by 22 percent for the rest of this fiscal year and the next one.

A 22 percent budget cut would come out to about $110 million.

Klaich explained several ways higher ed could save $110 million, all of them very unpleasant. One way the state could save the money would be by eliminating come colleges altogether. Nevada could shut down Nevada State College and the College of Southern Nevada. Or the state could ax Close Great Basin College, Truckee Meadows Community College, and Desert Research Institute. Under that scenario Nevada would also have to close many professional schools at the state’s flagship college, the University of Nevada at Las Vegas.

If the state wants to address budget cuts without closing schools, the chancellor pointed out that there was another option: 48 percent tuition and fee increases.

Daniel Luzer is higher education blogger for the Washington Monthly.

Popularity: 2% [?]

Deep thoughts on teacher power and pay

Monday, February 8th, 2010

If Colorado’s teachers unions are so powerful, how come teachers here are the worst paid in the 50 states (relative to other occupations, which is the best adjustment for cost-of-living, local labor markets, etc.)?

(Note: These data are from Ed Week’s 2010 Quality Counts – and unlikely any Colorado interest group, Ed Week has absolutely no stake in where Colorado ranks.)

Since Colorado teachers are the worst paid, when the economy and budgets recover, couldn’t there be a deal of more money for more accountability – more meaningful tenure earning, meaningful “4 point” evaluations rather than “satisfactory” for nearly all, no forced placements, being able to fire poor teachers, etc.?

Popularity: 6% [?]

Colorado Health Foundation Walton Family Foundation Daniels fund Pitton Foundations Donnell-Kay Foundation