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Neighbors in (relative) higher ed woes

Monday, February 15th, 2010

While Colorado’s public higher education system faces severe financial cuts, combining a previously low level of funding with further deep cuts, we are by no means the only state facing a crisis.  Our neighbors in Nevada have recently been highlighted in national reports.

But, before reading the blog below about Nevada, please understand that in 2008, according to NCHEMS data – National Center for Higher Education Management Systems – state and local support per FTE student in Nevada was $9,102, while in Colorado it was $4,213 (less than half of Nevada’s state support).   If they are having troubles dealing with these cuts, how are we doing it?   Data Link: http://www.higheredinfo.org/dbrowser/index.php?submeasure=67&year=2008&level=nation&mode=graph&state=0

Nevada’s Looming Higher Education Crisis

by Daniel Luzer

There’s an update to the budget problems facing public colleges in Nevada. According to Nevada Higher Education Chancellor Dan Klaich if the Legislature applies budget cuts across the Nevada state government, the system won’t have enough money to operate next year. According to an article in the Las Vegas Review-Journal:

[Klaich]told the system’s governing Board of Regents the state is facing the worst economic shortfall in anyone’s memory, nearly $1 billion. This will mean either massive cuts to every aspect of government, or woefully unpopular tax increases. Or both.

If the Legislature applies the cuts equally across state government, it will likely mean budgets will be reduced by 22 percent for the rest of this fiscal year and the next one.

A 22 percent budget cut would come out to about $110 million.

Klaich explained several ways higher ed could save $110 million, all of them very unpleasant. One way the state could save the money would be by eliminating come colleges altogether. Nevada could shut down Nevada State College and the College of Southern Nevada. Or the state could ax Close Great Basin College, Truckee Meadows Community College, and Desert Research Institute. Under that scenario Nevada would also have to close many professional schools at the state’s flagship college, the University of Nevada at Las Vegas.

If the state wants to address budget cuts without closing schools, the chancellor pointed out that there was another option: 48 percent tuition and fee increases.

Daniel Luzer is higher education blogger for the Washington Monthly.

Popularity: 9% [?]

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Deep thoughts on teacher power and pay

Monday, February 8th, 2010

If Colorado’s teachers unions are so powerful, how come teachers here are the worst paid in the 50 states (relative to other occupations, which is the best adjustment for cost-of-living, local labor markets, etc.)?

(Note: These data are from Ed Week’s 2010 Quality Counts – and unlikely any Colorado interest group, Ed Week has absolutely no stake in where Colorado ranks.)

Since Colorado teachers are the worst paid, when the economy and budgets recover, couldn’t there be a deal of more money for more accountability – more meaningful tenure earning, meaningful “4 point” evaluations rather than “satisfactory” for nearly all, no forced placements, being able to fire poor teachers, etc.?

Popularity: 26% [?]

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The scrutiny gap

Tuesday, February 2nd, 2010

The issues reported in the Denver Post this weekend related to drug licenses at the University of Colorado’s Dental School as well as Mark Sass’ recent blog,  remind me of how little we compare teaching to other professions or occupations.  I have studied state-level regulation of several industries, and occupational regulation is one of the most fascinating areas. (See this link for my favorite review of my regulation book).

Occupational regulation is often cited as an extreme example of the “Chicago School” idea that public policy benefits mainly private actors.  Professions often either “capture” the state legislative process, getting essentially self-regulation or easy regulation that makes it hard for competitors to enter their domain, or they tend to dominate the regulatory boards or agencies that are supposed to oversee their ongoing occupational practice. (The political logic here is simple – the large numbers of consumers each have very low stakes in how hair stylists, for example, are regulated, while those hair sylists care a great deal and thus organize to influence the political or regulatory process).  Some 800 occupations are regulated by at least one of the United States today.

(On a local note, Colorado’s Department of Regulatory Affairs, until recently headed by Rico Munn, has a long history of being one of the better state agencies in the country for regulating professions).

One result of occupational regulation is that very few professionals lose their licenses, or face other disciplinary actions, via oversight boards, often because these boards are dominated by members of that same profession.  For example, less than 1% of MDs and other health care professionals typically face disciplinary actions, compared to much higher rates of malpractice allegations (these lawsuit allegations could be over-inflated, of course, but it is hard to believe that only 1% of professionals are creating problems).  Either these professionals see it in their self interest to protect each other or they are truly serving the public interest quite well.

So, how does this relate to K12 teachers?  First, some differences.  In most of these other professions the entry barriers to joining the field are really high to get into the professional schools and into the profession itself (students need extremely high GPAs and test scores to get into medical or dental school – the UC Denver dental school accepts only 52 students from over 1,500 applications).  As a result, these students receive a lot of very expensive professional training (and sometimes they go hugely into debt to pay for it) and they later earn quite high salaries, partly to compensate.  Teaching, in part because so many teachers are needed, does not require anything like these hurdles to enter.

But, there are similarities.  As highly trained as some of these professional are, over time their skills and motivation can certainly erode.   While most professions have some “continuing education” or professional development requirements, almost none require a re-licensing process that meaningfully tests their skills or achievements.  Hence, we get stories like the nearly blind surgeon, a few years ago, who operated on the wrong body part.

What does this comparison tell us?   Other, more prestigious professions than teaching, have difficulty policing their own occupations in any meaningful way, whether they have professional unions or not.  Professionals are reluctant to make or support claims against others in their field, either in solidarity, or because most people one works with over time become, if not friends, at least real people with real lives, and families, that you become somewhat familiar with.  And, current public policy approaches don’t help all that much in providing ongoing feedback (yes, with the Internet it is now possible to get more consumer information about professional quality care, and make competitive decisions partly on that basis (if your insurance plan allows), but it is still far from easy).

Thus, there seems to be no weeding out of the bottom 10% or more of professionals in these occupations, just as this does not happen for tenured teachers.   Any model of teaching quality and evaluation that suggests weeding out a certain percentage, especially at a later stage in a teacher’s career, seems to me likely to face enormous obstacles.

While not perfect, this thought leads me back to a model of much higher initial standards, before tenure is earned.  And, yes, I am part of the tenured higher education professoriate, and there are some who believe that to be a stifling model.  (I’ll happily engage in that discussion in another venue – tenure at a quality higher education institution is difficult to earn and only comes after about 5-6 years of no paid rigorous graduate school, followed by 7 years of relatively low paid assistant professor-dom – if people want to change the higher education tenure rules, they’ll need to change the entry process into the profession, as well).

But, the dozen or so years involved in the higher education tenure process, just like the lengthy professional education of many medical professionals, does allow ample opportunities for a system to screen for the appropriate ability, skills, and dispositions.  The 3 years of probationary teaching experience in Colorado’s K12 system, after perhaps only a BA preparation, does not allow anything near that same level of scrutiny (especially when we know that teachers, on average, tend to reach their peak in moving student achievement only after about 5 years experience).

While there are current proposals to require later career teachers to retain their tenure, based upon their students’ achievement, this comparison suggests that implementing such proposals will be very difficult, just as in other fields.  But, making the original tenure decision more challenging, and more meaningful, would begin to raise the professional standards of K12 teaching, to be more comparable.

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How low can higher ed go?

Monday, January 25th, 2010

Two years ago, before the biggest national economic and state budget crisis in generations, Colorado ranked #48 in state support for higher education (per student).   Now we are in the midst of additional cuts to Colorado’s higher education budget that will be at least 20% from the 2006 funding levels, and could easily come closer to 50%.

This matters because most economic development experts and enlightened business leaders understand that a strong higher education sector, with high quality, broad access, and reasonable costs, is a major driver of a state’s economy.  Thus, as the state legislature crafts its budget and as the CCHE starts its required strategic planning process, there are some related points to ponder.

If cuts substantially exceed the known 20% cut already “baked into” the budget, there will have to be some conversations about cutting some institutions, or parts of institutions.  And, perhaps there should be, rather than just deeper across-the-board cuts.  But, we need to keep in mind that Colorado’s higher education system is already ranked #1 or #2 in measures of efficiency – that is, the number of graduates per state dollar spent (see David Longenecker’s presentations using national data).  There isn’t a lot of fat left in this system.

And, let’s also keep in mind that this is a state with a future of large population growth.  We expect to have more college students in the future than we have now.

Furthermore, perhaps the major goal of K12 education reform in Colorado is to expand the number of “college ready” high school graduates.  If we somehow succeed in making progress on that very challenging goal, and a much higher percentage of our 9th graders actually graduate from high school and aim for higher education, where are we going to put them?

Right now we have about 220,000 students in Colorado higher ed, and while statistics aren’t fully in, it appears that there are probably 10% more this year than last year (due in part to the bad economy and lack of jobs).  High school graduation rates suggest growth in the next 10 years from about 50,000 HS graduates to 60,000 each year in Colorado.  Assume a higher share of those graduates aim for college – again, if we cut capacity in higher ed today, as perhaps we must do to balance budgets, where will we put these students?

An expanded private higher education capacity is certainly a possibility.  But, last week’s articles in the Denver Post cast real doubt on the ability of that sector to produce high quality outcomes – while some new private institutions provide good education and career opportunities, clearly many take advantage of easy federal loans to students and produce little more than more debt for these students.

It is also true that low and declining resources force institutions into decisions and tradeoffs that are far from ideal.  For example, the research evidence is clear that college students are more likely to stay in school if they are taught, in their freshman year, by tenure track, or at least full time faculty members, who have time to mentor them.  And yet, due to limited resources, most institutions employ part-time adjuncts to teach the majority of freshman courses, who don’t have time for mentoring.   We know this isn’t good for achieving our goals of students graduating from college, but we do it anyway, because we have to.

In the end, of course, fixing the funding for higher education requires a larger fix in the state budgetary process.  My strongest hope is that the business community can see enough enlightened self-interest in addressing these issues.   Absent that, we are likely to bounce along at the bottom of the higher ed barrel and miss many opportunities for educating our younger generations of students.

Popularity: 15% [?]

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Colorado charter school environment better than most

Wednesday, January 13th, 2010

In 1993, Colorado was an early adopter of charter schools.  The original legislation, with some changes, has proved to be one of the nation’s best laws, in terms of encouraging growth of charter schools.  The Center for Education Reform (CER), a champion of charters, ranks Colorado’s law #7 in the country, for encouraging charter growth (and the CER rankings are often used by researchers and others when comparing states).

Now, the National Alliance for Public Charter Schools has a new study out that ranks states on their charter laws, but also includes more about implementation and authorization, and the quality of those efforts. In this new study, Colorado is ranked #5 best in the country, aggregating across 20 dimensions.

Since 11 states have no charter law (and hence no charter schools), and 13 more have caps that potentially will prevent them from winning Race to the Top monies, Colorado is in the higher echelon of the 25 states that have charter school sectors that put them in contention.  This should help with the R2T competition.

I’m sure many charter school developers and operators would like to see an easier or clearer path to new schools in Colorado, but compared to the rest of the country, we are doing pretty well with charters.

Popularity: 16% [?]

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Eat your veggies or a Chinese kid will eat your lunch

Thursday, November 12th, 2009

The movement toward healthier food in schools, both better lunches and available snacks, seems like a worthy effort on its own merits, in a world full of junk food options and a trend towards childhood obesity.   And, many groups have been working on this issue in Colorado recently.

But, might healthy food also stimulate healthy minds?

It is hardly definitive, but a recent sort-of natural experiment in England shows promising results.

From Tim Harford, writing for the Financial Times about celebrity chef Jamie Oliver’s project:

Oliver’s mission to persuade schools to serve healthier lunches – and get children to eat them, and stubborn mothers not to stuff chips through the school railings – became a national phenomenon in 2005. Tony Blair and David Cameron fell over themselves to jump on the Naked Chef’s bandwagon, and soon everyone in the country had an opinion on the campaign.

What caught the attention of Michele Belot and Jonathan James, though, was the way Oliver’s project had been implemented. Belot and James – economists at Nuffield College, Oxford, and at the University of Essex respectively – noted that the campaign had created a near-perfect experiment. The chef had convinced Greenwich’s council and schools to change menus to fit his scheme; he mobilised resources, provided equipment and trained dinner ladies. Other London boroughs with similar demographics received none of these advantages – and indeed, because the programme wasn’t broadcast until after the project was well under way, probably knew little about it. The result was a credible pilot project. It wasn’t quite up to the gold standard of a randomised trial, but it wasn’t far off.

Thanks to the UK’s exhaustive school testing regime, Belot and James were able to track pupils’ performance in some detail. They concentrated on primary schools, figuring that secondary school pupils could (and probably would) avoid eating school lunches that were too worthy. (This is surely correct. My own habitual sixth-form lunch was four bars of chocolate – a pound a day well spent.)

Their answer – a provisional one, since they are still refining the research – is that feeding primary school kids less fat, sugar and salt, and more fruit and vegetables, has a surprisingly large effect. Authorised absences, the best available proxy for illness, fell by 15 per cent in Greenwich, relative to schools in similar London boroughs. And relative to other boroughs, the proportion of children reaching Level Four in English rose by four and a half percentage points (more than six per cent), while the proportion of children achieving Level Five in Science rose by six points, or almost 20 per cent. There is some uncertainty about these numbers: they could be substantially smaller or larger. There is not much that can be said with confidence about scores in other subjects, or other achievement levels – although the academic benefits of the Greenwich lunches appear to be positive, if tentatively so, in almost every case.”

Popularity: 11% [?]

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DPS ≠ R2T

Monday, November 9th, 2009

I’ve been surprised to see opinions, in EdNews and Sunday in the Denver Post Perspective section, suggesting that last week’s school board election results in Denver somehow threaten Colorado’s chances to win the federal Race to the Top competition.   I think the logic of these assertions is faulty (even as I understand that the political intent of these authors is probably to push the newly elected board members to rethink their ideas about changing the current path of reform efforts in DPS).

First, for this asserted chain of logic to work, one has to assume that the new DPS school board will make decisions that look very different from the current board.  The election results were certainly mixed, from the perspective of who won which seats, and by how many votes.  Yes the board composition will change and perhaps the leadership, but it remains to be seen how or if that changes policy direction, and the new key players have sounded quite reasonable in the media so far.  So, let’s see if and how the DPS board really changes things before we see a R2T threat.

Second, and more important, R2T is a competitive federal grant to states.  The state has put together an exemplary process for getting ideas and input, as noted by Ed Week, and Colorado has lots of innovative activities, as well as recent state legislation, to leverage.   Colorado will win or lose the R2T competition, and while DPS is the signature urban district in the state with highest media profile, it serves less than 10% of Colorado’s students.  Jeffco, of course, is a larger district and many of the other 177 districts have innovative reforms under way that are being related to the R2T process.

While many of DPS’s innovations are important to the R2T application, they are hardly the only pieces of the process.

Popularity: 8% [?]

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Does teacher induction affect student achievement?

Monday, October 26th, 2009

An academic mentor of mine used to say that social science research almost always confirms common sense, or … it is wrong.  There is some wisdom in that, but I wouldn’t go quite as far as his more cynical conclusion – “we’ve learned one thing from 50 years of research on health and education – smoking is bad for you.”

As a social science researcher, I have always found the questions we study to be fascinating, but often the answers are frustratingly elusive.  Still, some recent research in education has done more than validate common sense, and has driven important changes in policy focus.

For example, by having teacher identifiers and longitudinal data in some states (Tennessee, Florida and a  few others), researchers have shown: 1) the great importance for low-income student learning of having good teachers for a few consecutive years, versus having bad teachers (yes, this validates common sense, but it shows that learning gains for low-income kids are possible under good teaching); and 2) traditional inputs into teacher pay (seniority and Masters degrees) have little or no association with student learning outcomes (less clearly associated with common sense).

This evidence points to a greater focus on teacher effectiveness, which we now are seeing in Race to the Top and elsewhere, greater equity in quality teacher distribution across schools, and more focus on teacher outputs and outcomes than on the inputs.  This is what evidence based research should do.

But a study on teacher induction programs released this week, brings to the forefront this issue of research findings versus common sense or common wisdom “on the ground.”   I’m particularly intrigued by this study because, at a conference last year, I observed a panel discussion of the first year of findings. Now the second year findings are out.

The study is “Impacts of Comprehensive Teacher Induction: Results from the Second Year of a Randomized Controlled Study,” by  Eric Isenberg, Steven Glazerman, Martha Bleeker, Amy Johnson, Julieta Lugo-Gil, Mary Grider, Sarah Dolfin, Edward Britton, and Melanie Ali –  Mathematica Policy Research, August 2009.

It is funded by the Institute for Education Sciences for 5 years. The authors are expert methodologists; 1,000 teachers in 400 elementary schools in 17 districts in 13 states are involved, and the districts had to agree to a randomized design where some new teachers get one of two high quality, nationally-respected induction programs, while other teachers get “induction as usual.”  This is the gold standard of research designs (and costs $17 million).

The findings: after two years, the teachers getting better induction programs do not show any increase in their student learning outcomes, compared to the control group.

So, either common sense is wrong and a great induction program for teachers doesn’t move student achievement, or there is something wrong with this study (doubtful to me), or 2 years is too short to see student learning outcome effects (possible, and a good thing the study is funded for 5 years).

Popularity: 51% [?]

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Unspinning Colorado NAEP scores

Tuesday, October 20th, 2009

The National Assessment of Educational Progress (NAEP) provides the best data on the performance of U.S. students over time, and the new 2009 NAEP math results were released last week.

As always, the interpretation of new national results is in the eye of the beholder – do we praise increases because at least the scores aren’t flat or negative, or damn them since they are so small and “at this rate it will take X decades until we catch up to Finland” ?

Unspun, the national results show flat math scores at 4th grade since the 2007 test, and a small increase in 8th grade scores – after two decades of small but steady increases at both grade levels for math.

Former Bush administration NCES Commissioner Mark Schneider suggests that with enough data now, we can see that scores have not increased more post-NCLB than they did previously – NAEP scores actually went up more in the pre-NCLB period than afterwards.  With 4 rounds of NAEP tests administrated in the 7 years since the 2002 NCLB, this is probably enough data to suggest that NCLB has not raised student performance more than prior programs.

This finding suggests that accountability programs by themselves are not enough.  One can argue that NCLB did some good by focusing attention on subgroups within schools and setting benchmarks, but it hasn’t propelled American schools forward, perhaps because of lack of resources provided, a punitive approach to low achievement, a simplistic notion of teacher quality (“high quality teachers”), or a variety of other possible diagnoses.

Colorado, as usual with NAEP, scores better than national averages.  Colorado’s 8th grade scores went up one point since 2007, compared to the 2 point national gain, but Colorado remains 5 points above average.  That leaves Colorado in a middle pack, not significantly different from a group of 20 other states, with 8 states clearly performing better, and 23 states clearly performing worse in math.

For 4th grade math, Colorado’s scores went up 3 points, while the national average was flat, leaving Colorado 4 points higher than average.  That leaves Colorado in the middle pack, again not significantly different from a group of 21 other states, with 5 states clearly performing better, and 25 states clearly performing worse.

Not bad performance.  But, where Colorado continues to lag is with our achievement gaps.  For grade 4, we have the 40th worst gap between white and Hispanic students, and the 36th worst gap between white and black students. For grade 8, we have the 42th worst gap between white and Hispanic students, and the 35th worst gap between white and black students.

None of these 2009 achievement gaps are significantly different from the same gaps identified by NAEP tests in 1990.

So, despite two decades of attention to the achievement gap, the gaps by racial groups in Colorado are basically unchanged.  Frustratingly, no state policy change has made a dent, in terms of measurable impact on the benchmark national test.

This argues for bolder initiatives, as we Race to the Top and pursue another generation of reform efforts, both in DC and in Colorado.   Whatever efforts we pursue, my own belief, partly evidence-based and partly intuition, is that school funding really matters most for lower-income kids.  Within a reasonable range, middle-income kids will still do OK with subpar funding.  Lower-income kids largely will not.

With K12 funding levels in the range of #35-40 among the 50 US states (depending upon how you measure it exactly), it is no surprise that the Colorado math achievement gap is in the #35-42 range.

Popularity: 8% [?]

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Colorado’s key crossroads summer

Thursday, July 9th, 2009

Despite the supposed curse about “living in interesting times,” most of us probably do want to be players or observers of interesting activities in our domains — Colorado education in this case.  So, I hope we all appreciate the exciting current state of play in education, finance, and related topics in Colorado this summer.

By my count, Denver or Colorado is currently very much in the running for 3 possible sets of new resources to improve our education systems.  Most important is the federal Race to the Top (R2T), where maybe 10 states will get $400 million each for reform efforts (and where a recent EdWeek article touts our chances highly).

Also important is a possible multi-million Gates Foundation grant for human capital systems. DPS is competing as a finalist with some other urban districts.  And, the Ford Foundation seems to have considerable interest in Colorado, as one of 8 or so states they are studying, with the idea of possibly funding reform efforts in a few states.

If we win all, or even some, of these national competitions, Colorado will (more…)

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